The Arbitrarian

An alert reader pointed out that some of the predictions I made earlier were total nonsense. The first group, where I pick series winners and probabilities of winning, I stand by, but the second group, where I place odds on winning it all, those are not so good.

So I redid them, and actually tried this time, instead of being lazy, and here is what I came up with:

These make a little bit more sense… the Western Conference teams hurt each others’ odds a little bit, and we’re left with Detroit and Boston taking advantage of a somewhat easier time of it in the east. The spreadsheet I used can be seen here.  Apologies for doing such a shoddy job the first time around. I’m sticking with these as my official word, and I still don’t give Utah much of a chance.