Paul Pierce: An MVP performance in a losing effort

Last night, Paul Pierce made a strong case to be finals MVP–unfortunately for him, the Celtics could not close the game out. You may be interested to find that Pau, not Paul, had the best game in terms of Model-estimated value. However, once team performance is accounted for Pierce comes out ahead, credited with 37.8 Points Created, and 0.376 wins. Nevertheless, this was Gasol’s best game yet:

tm Player MP PTS MEV PVC PtC Credit G/B
bos Paul Pierce 47.97 38 29.85 0.395 37.80 0.376 2.34
lal Pau Gasol 42.12 19 30.97 0.325 34.36 0.342 5.79
lal Lamar Odom 41.23 20 24.34 0.256 27.01 0.269 3.88
lal Kobe Bryant 44.33 25 18.68 0.196 20.73 0.206 1.78
bos Kevin Garnett 33.10 13 13.28 0.176 16.82 0.167 1.97
lal Jordan Farmar 22.30 11 10.47 0.110 11.61 0.116 3.21
lal Derek Fisher 35.23 15 9.79 0.103 10.86 0.108 1.80
bos Tony Allen 10.98 6 7.70 0.102 9.74 0.097 8.56
bos Ray Allen 39.48 16 6.86 0.091 8.69 0.086 1.51
bos Sam Cassell 18.02 9 6.23 0.082 7.88 0.078 2.13
bos James Posey 32.42 3 5.87 0.078 7.43 0.074 2.29
lal Vladimir Radmanovic 19.22 7 5.60 0.059 6.21 0.062 1.72
bos Eddie House 13.63 6 2.37 0.031 2.99 0.030 1.37
bos P.J. Brown 24.88 4 1.89 0.025 2.40 0.024 1.46
lal Luke Walton 10.43 2 2.10 0.022 2.33 0.023 1.99
bos Leon Powe 4.98 0 0.81 0.011 1.03 0.010 4.68
bos Rajon Rondo 14.53 3 0.66 0.009 0.83 0.008 1.07
lal Trevor Ariza 1.25 0 -0.22 -0.002 -0.25 -0.002 0.00
lal Ronny Turiaf 1.40 0 -1.66 -0.017 -1.84 -0.018 0.00
lal Sasha Vujacic 19.72 4 -1.96 -0.021 -2.18 -0.022 0.77
lal Chris Mihm 2.77 0 -2.90 -0.030 -3.22 -0.032 0.00
Totals 480 201 170.72 2.000 201.25 2.002 2.07

In  other surprises, Tony Allen out-produced Ray Allen, who I had just proclaimed potential finals MVP, and the Lakers’ big three dominated that of the Celtics. The only sign of hope for Boston is the last four players on the list, all of whom are Lakers, and all of whom actually detracted from their team’s final outcome. Inicentally, in terms of Credit for wins cumulative over the course of the series (on which I would base the MVP decision), Bryant Leads with 1.222, followed by Ray Allen at 1.059, and Paul Pierce at 1.013. My suspicion is that if Boston wins the series, the award will go to the player who has the most impressive final game. If neither PP nor RA distinguish themselves, the award goes to Pierce, who has more points, and many more assists than Allen.

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